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Polls until May 2026
May 2026 Polls: The Month That Changed the Political Landscape
May 2026 is expected to be remembered as one of the most pivotal months of the current political cycle. The founding of two new political parties, Hope for Democracy on May 21 and the Hellenic Left Alliance (ELA) on May 28, triggered the largest polling realignment of recent years and significantly reshaped Greece’s political balance of power.
Other major developments that dominated the news cycle included internal tensions within New Democracy, highlighted by the letter signed by ten party officials and the party congress, the OPEKEPE affair, discussions on constitutional reform, and important international events such as the Trump–Xi and Putin–Xi meetings, as well as diplomatic initiatives aimed at ending the war in Iran. Nevertheless, none of these developments appear to have influenced public opinion polls to the extent achieved by the emergence of the two new political movements.
Methodological Note
The May average does not include the results of the MRB poll. This decision was made because the survey was conducted before the establishment and measurement of the two new parties and is therefore not directly comparable with subsequent polls. This exclusion should not be interpreted as a judgment on the quality of the survey. On the contrary, we are eagerly awaiting MRB’s June poll, which is expected to provide a more complete picture of the new political environment.
The Biggest Winners and Losers
The arrival of the two new parties resulted in significant losses across almost the entire political spectrum. The main exception is New Democracy, which records an increase of +1.11 percentage points in voting intention (+4.53%), as well as Voice of Reason, which shows a marginal gain of +0.10 points.
The largest losses are recorded by SYRIZA, which loses approximately 69% of its electoral influence compared with the previous month and now appears below the threshold for parliamentary representation. Course of Freedom is also under severe pressure, losing approximately 41% of its support, while PASOK records a significant decline of 1.66 percentage points, a development that becomes even more important when viewed alongside the simultaneous rise of New Democracy.
New Political Alignments
The reshuffling is not limited to vote shares; it also affects the ranking of political parties.
The Hellenic Left Alliance (ELA) now appears in second place in voting intention polls, pushing PASOK into third place. In vote estimate polls, after reallocating undecided voters, the gap between the two parties is minimal, with rankings varying depending on the polling company.
At the same time, Hope for Democracy is also competing for the positions immediately behind New Democracy, creating an entirely new three-pole opposition landscape.
The Communist Party of Greece (KKE), Greek Solution, and Course of Freedom follow in the next positions, maintaining a safe distance from the parliamentary threshold. Around the 3% zone remain Voice of Reason and MeRA25, both of which have managed to stay within Parliament for many months despite the intense political upheavals.
By contrast, the Democrats, SYRIZA, and NIKI are currently below the electoral threshold based on the average of available polls.
Hypothetical Seat Distribution
Based on the May 2026 average vote estimate after reallocating undecided voters, the resulting scenario points to an eight-party Parliament.
New Democracy would secure approximately 120 seats, ELA would win 47 seats, while both PASOK and Hope for Democracy would receive around 35 seats each. They are followed by KKE with 20 seats, Greek Solution with 19 seats, Course of Freedom with 14 seats, and Voice of Reason with 10 seats.
This picture further reduces the likelihood of a single-party majority government and strengthens scenarios involving coalition governments.
Polls at the Center of Public Debate
The major political realignments have also brought renewed attention to the discussion surrounding the reliability of opinion polls.
At dimoskopiseis.gr, we believe that all polls published by recognized media outlets and conducted by properly licensed polling companies should be recorded and included. Membership in the official Registry of Polling Organizations certainly provides an additional indication of credibility, but it does not necessarily mean that non-registered companies produce less reliable data.
Each polling company employs different methodologies, samples, and proportions of telephone and online interviews. For this reason, the role of dimoskopiseis.gr is not to evaluate polling companies but rather to collect, present, and smooth out their differences through the production of a Poll of Polls average and monthly historical averages.
The Numbers Behind the Month
During May 2026, we recorded ten voting intention polls from six different polling companies. For the calculation of the monthly average, only the five polls that included measurements for both new parties were used, allowing for a more accurate representation of the new political reality.
A similar picture emerges in vote estimate polls, with the sole exception of ALCO, which does not publish vote estimates.
One notable characteristic of the month was the concentration of polling activity into two distinct periods. Four surveys were published during the first days of May, followed by a temporary pause during the formation of the new parties. This was then followed by a genuine polling storm at the end of the month, a trend that continues into June.
Farewell to New Left
May 2026 also marks the end of the regular tracking of New Left on dimoskopiseis.gr. Following the dissolution of its parliamentary group and its continued decline in opinion polls, we are recording the party’s figures in our monthly tables for the final time. The dedicated page will remain available for historical and archival purposes.
At the same time, during May we expanded the content of dimoskopiseis.gr with a new section dedicated to informal viral polls, giving visitors the opportunity to participate more actively in public discussions surrounding current political and social issues.
New Democracy is a liberal-conservative political party in Greece. In contemporary Greek politics, New Democracy has been the main centre-right to right wing political party and one of the two major parties.
PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS 2023: 40.56% 158 SEATS
EURO ELECTIONS 2024: 28.31% 7 SEATS
CURRENT STRENGTH: 155 Parliamentary Seats (Government)
New Democracy LATEST POLLS
New Democracy is the only major party to register an increase in voting intention in May 2026, unlike almost all other political formations that were affected by the emergence of the two new parties. This development further strengthens its dominance in the first place and removes the scenarios of an overturn of the first place that had been discussed in previous months. Almost all voting intention polls in May record an increase for New Democracy, confirming the resilience of its electoral base in a period of intense political reshuffles. New Democracy
The picture is different in the polls after the reduction of undecideds, where mild corrective trends are recorded. Almost all of the relevant measurements show small losses compared to the previous month, which suggests that the increase in voting intention does not fully translate into a corresponding increase in the estimate of electoral influence.
The average of the polls after reduction is 29.65%, a percentage increased by +1.34 percentage points compared to the 2024 European elections, but decreased by -10.91 points compared to the 2023 national elections. Despite the distance from the percentages of its last electoral victory, New Democracy continues to move at levels that ensure it a clear lead over all its opponents.
As the political system gradually enters a pre-election trajectory, New Democracy shows remarkable stability and so far does not seem to be affected by the establishment of new parties. The coming months are expected to be of particular interest, especially the possibility of the establishment of a new political entity by Antonis Samaras. It will then become clearer whether New Democracy can maintain its current electoral influence or whether it will be pressured to the right of the political spectrum.
MAY 2026
The Panhellenic Socialist Movement, known mostly by its acronym PASOK, is a social-democratic political party in Greece. Until 2012 it was one of the two major parties in the country. After a decade of poor electoral outcomes, PASOK has retained its position as one of the main Greek political parties and is currently the second largest party in the Greek Parliament.
PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS 2023: 11.84% 31 SEATS
EURO ELECTIONS 2024: 12.79% 3 SEATS
CURRENT STRENGTH: 33 Parliamentary Seats (Official Opposition)
PASOK LATEST POLLS
PASOK, which during the previous two months recorded a gradual rise and maintained the expectation of reducing the distance from New Democracy, is receiving strong pressure in May 2026 from the new configuration of the political scene. In terms of voting intention, it records losses of -1.66 percentage points (-14.31%), a development that, combined with the dynamic entry of new parties, leads it to third place in the average of voting intention polls and to fourth place in polls after the inclusion of undecided voters.
The average of the polls after the reduction is 11.28%, the lowest percentage recorded by PASOK since the 2023 national elections. This performance is reduced by -0.56 percentage points compared to the 2023 election result and by -1.51 points compared to the 2024 European elections, confirming that the party is facing one of the most difficult polling periods in recent years.
Of particular interest was the public debate that opened in May around the reliability of polls, after the sharp remarks made by PASOK executives that certain measurements may influence the electorate. These statements provoked reactions from representatives of polling companies and brought back to the fore the long-standing debate about the role of public opinion surveys. However, the final assessment of the accuracy of the polls will be made at the 2027 polls. Especially in a political environment where the possibility of more than one election cannot be ruled out, polling companies know that their findings will be directly compared with the actual election results.
The key question for PASOK in the coming months is whether it will be able to halt its downward trajectory and regain second place from Alexis Tsipras’ Greek Left Alliance. The answer to this question concerns not only the party’s position in the poll rankings, but also the broader balance of power in the opposition arena. If the current trend consolidates, PASOK risks losing its leading role as the main voice of the center-left faction and being reduced to a complementary partner in possible coalition government scenarios after the next elections. by Antonis Samaras. It will then become clearer whether New Democracy can maintain its current electoral influence or whether it will be pressured to the right of the political spectrum.
MAY 2026
The Greek Solution is a political party in Greece founded by Kyriakos Velopoulos. The party is right-wing to far-right and has been described as ideologically ultranationalist, national conservative.
PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS 2023: 4.44% 12 SEATS
EURO ELECTIONS 2024: 9.25% 2 SEATS
CURRENT STRENGTH: 11 Parliamentary Seats (5th party)
Greek Solution LATEST POLLS
The losses recorded by the Greek Solution after the emergence of the two new parties were particularly significant, as its average voting intention fell by almost two percentage points compared to April. This development confirms that the rearrangement of the political scene did not only affect the parties of the center and center-left, but also exerted pressure on political spaces that until recently displayed greater stability.
The average of the polls after the reduction of undecideds is 6.25%, a percentage that approaches the levels recorded by the Greek Solution immediately after the 2023 national elections. This performance is reduced by –3.05 percentage points compared to the 2024 European elections, but remains increased by +1.81 points compared to the result of the 2023 national elections.
Despite the noticeable decline in recent months, the Greek Solution continues to maintain a significant lead over the parliamentary representation threshold and, given current data, does not appear to face an immediate risk of exclusion from the next Parliament. It continues to be among the parties of medium electoral influence that show stable prospects for parliamentary presence.
The key question for the coming months concerns the extent to which it may be affected by the possible establishment of a new political entity under Antonis Samaras. If such an undertaking appeals to a segment of the same electoral audience, additional pressure on the Greek Solution’s percentages cannot be ruled out. In this case, it remains to be seen whether the party can maintain its current position or whether it will find itself closer to the group of parties that will fight to secure their parliamentary representation in the 2027 elections.
MAY 2026
The Communist Party of Greece is a Marxist–Leninist political party in Greece. It was founded in 1918 as the Socialist Workers’ Party of Greece (SEKE) and adopted its current name in November 1924. It is the oldest political party in modern Greek politics.
PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS 2023: 7.69% 21 SEATS
EURO ELECTIONS 2024: 9.25% 2 SEATS
CURRENT STRENGTH: 21 Parliamentary Seats (4th party)
KKE LATEST POLLS
Even the KKE, the party that has long been considered a benchmark for the stability of its electoral percentages, was not unaffected by the upheavals caused by the emergence of new political formations. In May 2026, it recorded a decline in its electoral influence, reaching – like PASOK – the lowest levels it has recorded since the 2023 national elections, both in terms of voting intention and in opinion polls after the reduction of undecided voters. Πολιτική
The average of the polls after reduction is 6.50%, which is the lowest recorded by the party since the 2023 parliamentary elections. This performance is reduced by -2.75 percentage points compared to the 2024 European elections and by -1.19 points compared to the 2023 national elections.
Despite the deterioration it is recording, the KKE continues to maintain a clear safety distance from the parliamentary representation threshold and remains the strongest party in a group of political formations of medium electoral influence, which also includes the Hellenic Solution and the Freedom Voyage. Based on current data, all three parties appear to ensure their presence in the next Parliament with relative ease.
The course of the KKE to date shows that it has a particularly stable and resilient electoral core, which limits the large fluctuations in its percentages. For this reason, no spectacular changes are expected in the coming months, unless significant political developments occur that will affect the Left as a whole. For now, the most likely scenario is for the party to maintain levels close to current levels, with only small fluctuations around the average recorded in opinion polls.
MAY 2026
Course of Freedom is a Greek left-wing political party founded in 2016 by the former President of the Hellenic Parliament, Zoe Konstantopoulou.
PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS 2023: 3.17% 8 SEATS
EURO ELECTIONS 2024: 3.40% 1 SEAT
CURRENT STRENGTH: 8 Parliamentary Seats (8th party)
Course of Freedom LATEST POLLS
If we exclude the case of SYRIZA, which is now operating at levels that place it outside the political competition, Course of Freedom records the largest decline among the parliamentary parties. Compared to April 2026, its losses reach -41.6%, confirming the significant decline in the momentum it had developed in the previous period. Πολιτική
Course of Freedom has now completed four consecutive months of decline, returning to percentages corresponding to those recorded immediately after the 2024 European elections. In this way, it has essentially lost all of the poll gains it had accumulated over the last eighteen months, when it was even claiming second place in some measurements.
Freedom Cruise records an Average Poll Score after the reduction of undecideds of 4.53%, increased by +1.13 percentage points compared to the 2027 European elections and by +1.36 percentage points compared to the 2023 national elections Politics (Right)
Despite the significant decline, Course of Freedom continues to maintain a clear parliamentary perspective. Based on current data, it is the last party in the group of political formations that appear to ensure their entry into the next Parliament with relative ease, without having to fight a battle for survival around the 3% threshold.
The next period will show whether Course of Freedom has now stabilized at these levels or whether its downward trajectory will continue. Political developments, the further shaping of the new party map and the strategy that its leadership will follow will decisively influence its course. However, based on both its current percentages and the high performance it has recorded in the recent past, the possibility of losing its parliamentary representation does not seem, for the time being, to be a realistic scenario.
MAY 2026
The Coalition of the Radical Left – Progressive Alliance, best known by the syllabic abbreviation SYRIZA, is a centre-left to left-wing political party in Greece. It was founded in 2004 as a political coalition of left-wing and radical left parties, and registered as a political party in 2012.
PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS 2023: 17.83% 47 SEATS
EURO ELECTIONS 2024: 14.92% 4 SEATS
CURRENT STRENGTH: 26 Parliamentary Seats (3th party)
SYRIZA LATEST POLLS
After more than twenty years of continuous parliamentary presence and four years of governing the country, SYRIZA finds itself in May 2026 faced with the most difficult polling situation in its history. For the first time since its political rise, it is recording percentages that do not allow it to maintain realistic expectations of parliamentary representation in the next national elections. Politics(Left) Πολιτική
The average of the polls after deducting undecided voters is only 1.48%, a performance that places it far from the 3% threshold required to enter Parliament. This percentage is down by -13.44 percentage points compared to the 2024 European elections and by -16.35 points compared to the 2023 national elections, recording one of the largest electoral and opinion poll declines experienced by a major Greek party in the post-democratic period.
The collapse of SYRIZA’s percentages is not only a numerical fact but also an indication of the deep crisis of identity and representation facing the area that once constituted the main pole of the Greek center-left. The emergence of new political formations, the displacement of a significant part of its electoral base and internal party turmoil have created an extremely unfavorable environment for the party.
At the time of writing, developments in SYRIZA are decisive for its future. The decisions of the party bodies and the political initiatives that will follow are expected to shape the landscape of the next day. The interest of both polling companies and political analysts is now focused on what form the space that SYRIZA represented will take and what will be the polling dynamics of the political formations that will emerge after the completion of this process.
For the first time in many years, the question does not concern the percentage that SYRIZA will record in the next elections, but whether it will be able to remain a politically and electorally calculable factor in the new political scene that is taking shape.
MAY 2026
The Voice of Reason is a far-right ultranationalist political party in Greece. It was established in 2023 by Afroditi Latinopoulou, a lawyer and a Member of the European Parliamen.
PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS 2023: 0.43% 0 SEATS
EURO ELECTIONS 2024: 3.04% 1 SEAT
Voice of Reason LATEST POLLS
The Voice of Reason, along with New Democracy, is one of the few political forces that does not seem to have been substantially affected by the emergence of the two new parties. Both in voting intention and in opinion polls after the reduction of undecideds, it maintains its percentages almost unchanged, demonstrating remarkable stability in a period of intense political reshuffles.
Despite its stability, the Voice of Reason continues to be, along with MeRA25, in the group of parties that are moving close to the limit of parliamentary representation. The average of the polls after reduction is 3.45%, a percentage increased by +0.35 percentage points compared to the 2024 European elections and by +3.02 points compared to the 2023 national elections. This performance confirms that the party has managed to establish a stable electoral base, while maintaining realistic prospects of entering the next Parliament.
However, its political position remains fragile, as even small changes in its percentages can prove crucial for its parliamentary presence. For this reason, the possible establishment of a new political entity under Antonis Samaras is of particular interest. Since such a party addresses a segment of the same electoral audience, the movement of voters from the Voice of Reason cannot be ruled out. The size of this effect will be one of the most important factors that will determine whether the party will maintain its parliamentary presence or whether it will fall below the 3% threshold in the next national elections.
MAY 2026
The Democracy Movement is a political party in Greece, founded on November 23, 2024 by Stefanos Kasselakis. It places itself in the area of the “modern center-left” and progressivism.
CURRENT STRENGTH: 5 Parliamentary Seats (9th party)
Democracy Movement LATEST POLLS
The Democrats – Progressive Center of Stefanos Kasselakis opens the category of parties that, based on current polling data, do not show realistic prospects for parliamentary representation in the next national elections.
Although the losses recorded by the party in May are relatively limited, its already low electoral starting point has resulted in it remaining at particularly low levels of influence. The average of the polls after deducting undecided voters is 1.65%, a percentage that keeps it significantly far from the 3% threshold required to enter Parliament.
The political pressure exerted on the broader center-left by the emergence of new parties creates an even more demanding environment for the Democrats – Progressive Center. The rearrangement of political associations makes it more difficult for the party to acquire a distinct political position and expand its electoral base.
Of particular interest is the intense political activity of Stefanos Kasselakis, who continues his tours and public interventions throughout the country, seeking to strengthen the party’s recognition and appeal. The coming months will show whether this strategy can translate into substantial polling gains or whether the Democrats – Progressive Center will remain at levels that do not allow it to claim parliamentary representation.
For the time being, the main issue for the party is not the immediate battle for entry into Parliament, but the creation of the conditions that will allow it to return to a trajectory of political and electoral development within a highly competitive political environment.
MAY 2026
The Democratic Patriotic Popular Movement “Niki” often shortened to simply Niki (Victory), is a right, far-right political party in Greece. It was founded by educator Dimitris Natsios in 2019.
PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS 2023: 3.70% 10 SEATS
EURO ELECTIONS 2024: 4.37% 1 SEAT
CURRENT STRENGTH: 10 Parliamentary Seats (7th party)
NIKH LATEST POLLS
NIKI is among the parties that seem to have been most affected by the recent reshuffles of the political scene and in particular by the emergence of Hope for Democracy. The May polls record a significant contraction of its electoral influence, confirming that a part of the electorate that supported the party is now looking for new political expressions. Πολιτική
Based on the average of the polls after the reduction of undecideds, NIKI stands at 1.28%, a percentage that ranks it in last place among the parties systematically monitored by dimoskopiseis.gr. This performance is reduced by -3.09 percentage points compared to the 2024 European elections and by -2.42 points compared to the 2023 national elections, recording one of the largest declines in the last year.
Of particular interest is the relationship that will develop between NIKI and Hope for Democracy in the coming months. The data so far show that the new party is attracting a significant portion of voters who previously chose NIKI, which creates new challenges for the party’s strategy and identity.
The key question now is whether NIKI will be able to halt its downward trajectory and regroup its electoral audience, or whether the emergence of new political options will consolidate the current image. With current polling data, returning to levels of parliamentary representation appears to be a particularly difficult challenge, which will require significant political and organizational restructuring.
MAY 2026
The European Realistic Disobedience Front, or MeRA25 (Greek: ΜέΡΑ25), is a left-wing Greek political party founded in 2018. Its founder and General Secretary is former Syriza MP and Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis.
PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS 2023: 2.50% 0 SEATS
EURO ELECTIONS 2024: 2.54% 0 SEATS
MeRA25 LATEST POLLS
MeRA25 also recorded losses in May 2026, but its decline was significantly smaller compared to that of other parties in the wider Left. This resilience allows the party to remain close to the threshold for parliamentary representation, keeping hopes alive for its return to the next Parliament.
The average of the opinion polls after the reduction of undecided voters is 2.30%, a percentage reduced by -0.24 percentage points compared to the 2024 European elections and by -0.20 points compared to the 2023 national elections. Although these differences are not large, they keep the party below the critical threshold of 3%, which makes any change in the coming months particularly important.
The realignment of forces in the Left creates new data for MeRA25. On the one hand, the emergence of new political formations may further limit its electoral influence. On the other hand, increased mobility in the broader progressive space may create new opportunities for political visibility and voter mobilization.
The key question for the coming period is whether MeRA25 will manage to regain lost ground and return to stable electoral percentages or whether the increasing pressure from new political initiatives will keep it out of parliamentary representation. Given current conditions, it remains one of the parties closest to the threshold for entry into Parliament and is expected to fight one of the most lopsided electoral battles in the coming months.
MAY 2026
The New Left is a centre-left to left-wing democratic socialist political party in the Hellenic Parliament. It was founded on 4 December 2023 by eleven independent MPs who left the Syriza party. The president of the parliamentary group is Alexis Haritsis.
EURO ELECTIONS 2024: 2.45% 0 SEATS
CURRENT STRENGTH: 11 Parliamentary Seats (5th party)
New Left LATEST POLLS
With the completion of the May 2026 poll review and following the dissolution of the New Left parliamentary group, dimoskopiseis.gr ceases the systematic recording of the party’s poll percentages. This decision is based on the fact that its electoral influence has now fallen to levels lower than those of other political formations that are included in the “Other Party” category of the polls.
New Left dynamically entered the political scene after the split of SYRIZA, initially recording remarkable performances in public opinion polls. Its best poll performance was recorded in April 2024, when the average of the polls after deducting undecided voters reached 3.76%, a percentage that gave it the prospect of parliamentary representation.
However, the course that followed did not confirm the initial expectations. The gradual decline of its electoral influence, the intense mobility within the center-left and the successive political reshuffles led the party to a prolonged period of poll shrinkage. The result was the loss of its parliamentary presence and its gradual removal from the epicenter of political developments.
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